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CATEGORIES:Charlton College of Business
DESCRIPTION:The Department of Accounting & Finance announces the following 
 research seminar. Speaker: Professor. Jie Zhou (California State Universit
 y, Fullerton)Title: Analysts’ Explicit Forecasts of the Number of Shares
  Outstanding Date: Friday, February 13, 2026Time: 11:00 AM-12:15 PMLocatio
 n: via Zoom MeetingMeeting ID: 438 755 1509 Abstract: Financial analysts
 ’ forecasts of a firm’s earnings per share (EPS) involve the numerator
 —aggregate earnings—and the denominator—the number of shares outstan
 ding (NSO). Very little is known about whether analysts explicitly provide
  NSO forecasts. This gap is surprising given the ubiquitous research on pe
 r share forecasts. We find that analysts’ explicit NSO forecasts are mor
 e accurate than naïve forecasts based on a random walk and more accurate 
 than implicit forecasts, which can be derived from forecasts of aggregate 
 earnings and EPS on the same day. We document two implications of NSO fore
 casts. First, analysts who regularly forecast NSO provide more accurate fo
 recasts, consistent with differential skills. Second, NSO forecasts appear
  to have a disciplining effect on managers, as we find that firms with at 
 least one NSO analyst forecast are less likely to engage in accretive stoc
 k repurchases in the subsequent fiscal year. For additional information, \
 nEvent page: https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/accounting-and-finance-depa
 rtment-research-seminar.php
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<html><body><p>The Department of Accounting & 
 Finance announces the following research seminar.</p>\n<p>Speaker: Profess
 or. Jie Zhou (California State University\, Fullerton)<br />Title: Analyst
 s’ Explicit Forecasts of the Number of Shares Outstanding</p>\n<p>Date: 
 Friday\, February 13\, 2026<br />Time: 11:00 AM-12:15 PM<br />Location: vi
 a Zoom Meeting<br />Meeting ID: 438 755 1509</p>\n<p><strong>Abstract:</st
 rong></p>\n<p>Financial analysts’ forecasts of a firm’s earnings per s
 hare (EPS) involve the numerator—aggregate earnings—and the denominato
 r—the number of shares outstanding (NSO). Very little is known about whe
 ther analysts explicitly provide NSO forecasts. This gap is surprising giv
 en the ubiquitous research on per share forecasts. We find that analysts
 ’ explicit NSO forecasts are more accurate than naïve forecasts based o
 n a random walk and more accurate than implicit forecasts\, which can be d
 erived from forecasts of aggregate earnings and EPS on the same day. We do
 cument two implications of NSO forecasts. First\, analysts who regularly f
 orecast NSO provide more accurate forecasts\, consistent with differential
  skills. Second\, NSO forecasts appear to have a disciplining effect on ma
 nagers\, as we find that firms with at least one NSO analyst forecast are 
 less likely to engage in accretive stock repurchases in the subsequent fis
 cal year.</p>\n<p>For additional information\, </p><p>Event page: <a href=
 "https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/accounting-and-finance-department-resea
 rch-seminar.php">https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/accounting-and-finance-
 department-research-seminar.php</a></a></p></body></html>
DTSTAMP:20260310T052341
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260213T110000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260213T121500
LOCATION:Zoom
SUMMARY;LANGUAGE=en-us:Accounting and Finance Department Research Seminar
UID:f3813e42074c41d5f5df552b5b2b88ff@www.umassd.edu
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