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CATEGORIES:College of Engineering,Graduate Studies,Lectures and Seminars,Th
 esis/Dissertations
DESCRIPTION:Faculty Supervisor:Dr. Gokhan Kul, Computer & Information Scien
 ce/Data Science Committee Members: Dr. Gavin Fay, SMAST Fisheries & Oceano
 graphyDr. Firas Khatib, Computer & Information Science/Data ScienceDr. Ash
 okkumar Patel, Computer & Information Science/Data Science Abstract: Marin
 e ecosystem models such as Atlantis valuable insight into multispecies int
 eractions , spatial dynamics and fisheries management, but their high comp
 utational cost limits rapid scenario analysis and real-time decision makin
 g. This study presented a data-driven ecosystem emulator for the Northeast
  U.S. Atlantis model using automated machine learning approaches. A large 
 -scale dataset (~3.4 million records) spanning 1964-2020 was constructed ,
  integrating bio ass of species functional groups , spatial polygons , tem
 poral indices and environments variables such as temperature and salinity.
   The emulator framework employed automated machine learning techniques, 
 including Random Forest and Extra tress regression, with model selection a
 nd hyperparameter optimization performance using AutoML strategies. In add
 ition, AutoKeras was utilized to explore neural network architectures in a
 n automated manner, enabling data-driven model allocation, lagged variable
 s to capture ecological inertia and time-aware transformations. Model perf
 ormance was evaluated using out-of-sample temporal validation, recursive b
 ack testing, and ecological plausibility assessments. Result demonstrated 
 string predictive performance, with species -level R2 values frequently ex
 ceeding 0.90 and overall model accuracy approaching 94%. The emulator achi
 eved high computational efficiency, with end-to-end prediction completed i
 n under few seconds, substantiality reducing runtime compared to tradition
 al Atlantis simulations. This work established a scalable and efficient Au
 toML-driven alternative to process-based ecosystem model, enabling rapid b
 iomass estimation and supporting data-driven fisheries management and ecos
 ystem analysis.  For further information please contact Dr. Gokhan Kul at
  gkul@umassd.edu \nEvent page: https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/emulatin
 g-marine-ecosystem-dynamics-a-machine-learning-approach-for-biomass-predic
 tion-and-forecasting.php\nEvent link: https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/210
 134622120814?p=HF1gXRarGipViGBpda
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<html><body><div>Faculty Supervisor:<br />Dr. 
 Gokhan Kul\, Computer & Information Science/Data Science</div>\n<p>Committ
 ee Members: <br />Dr. Gavin Fay\, SMAST Fisheries & Oceanography<br />Dr. 
 Firas Khatib\, Computer & Information Science/Data Science<br />Dr. Ashokk
 umar Patel\, Computer & Information Science/Data Science</p>\n<p>Abstract:
  Marine ecosystem models such as Atlantis valuable insight into multispeci
 es interactions \, spatial dynamics and fisheries management\, but their h
 igh computational cost limits rapid scenario analysis and real-time decisi
 on making. This study presented a data-driven ecosystem emulator for the N
 ortheast U.S. Atlantis model using automated machine learning approaches. 
 A large -scale dataset (~3.4 million records) spanning 1964-2020 was const
 ructed \, integrating bio ass of species functional groups \, spatial poly
 gons \, temporal indices and environments variables such as temperature an
 d salinity.  The emulator framework employed automated machine learning t
 echniques\, including Random Forest and Extra tress regression\, with mode
 l selection and hyperparameter optimization performance using AutoML strat
 egies. In addition\, AutoKeras was utilized to explore neural network arch
 itectures in an automated manner\, enabling data-driven model allocation\,
  lagged variables to capture ecological inertia and time-aware transformat
 ions. Model performance was evaluated using out-of-sample temporal validat
 ion\, recursive back testing\, and ecological plausibility assessments. Re
 sult demonstrated string predictive performance\, with species -level R2 v
 alues frequently exceeding 0.90 and overall model accuracy approaching 94%
 . The emulator achieved high computational efficiency\, with end-to-end pr
 ediction completed in under few seconds\, substantiality reducing runtime 
 compared to traditional Atlantis simulations. This work established a scal
 able and efficient AutoML-driven alternative to process-based ecosystem mo
 del\, enabling rapid biomass estimation and supporting data-driven fisheri
 es management and ecosystem analysis. </p>\n<p>For further information pl
 ease contact Dr. Gokhan Kul at <a href="mailto:gkul@umassd.edu">gkul@umass
 d.edu</a> </p><p>Event page: <a href="https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/e
 mulating-marine-ecosystem-dynamics-a-machine-learning-approach-for-biomass
 -prediction-and-forecasting.php">https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/emulati
 ng-marine-ecosystem-dynamics-a-machine-learning-approach-for-biomass-predi
 ction-and-forecasting.php</a><br>Event link: <a href="https://teams.micros
 oft.com/meet/210134622120814?p=HF1gXRarGipViGBpda">https://teams.microsoft
 .com/meet/210134622120814?p=HF1gXRarGipViGBpda</a></p></body></html>
DTSTAMP:20260421T151412
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260511T160000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260511T170000
LOCATION:Online/Teams (https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/210134622120814?p=H
 F1gXRarGipViGBpda)
SUMMARY;LANGUAGE=en-us:Emulating Marine Ecosystem Dynamics: A Machine Learn
 ing Approach For Biomass Prediction And Forecasting
UID:040cbd30c1740addfa22b4b1b701e07d@www.umassd.edu
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