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CATEGORIES:College of Engineering,Thesis/Dissertations
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Modern systems support critical services in transport
 ation, energy, communication, finance, defense, healthcare, and other doma
 ins where failures or prolonged disruptions can lead to economic loss, deg
 raded service, safety risks, and loss of public trust. As these systems be
 come more complex, interconnected, and data-driven, ensuring that they rem
 ain reliable during normal operation and resilient under disruptive condit
 ions become increasingly challenging. Previous research on system reliabil
 ity has developed statistical and machine learning models for defect predi
 ction and defect-prone module classification. Similarly, previous research
  on system resilience has developed metrics and models to assess how syste
 ms absorb, recover from, and adapt after disruptions. These approaches pro
 vide important foundations for system assessment, but many remain limited 
 by insufficient treatment of causal and conditional dependencies among sys
 tem metrics or insufficient flexibility for nonlinear, dynamic, and time-v
 arying conditions. As a result, existing models may not fully support pred
 iction and decision-making when defects, covariates, disruptions, and reco
 very processes evolve over time. To address these limitations, this disser
 tation develops statistical and machine learning models for system reliabi
 lity and resilience prediction. For system reliability, this dissertation 
 develops a causal inference-inspired feature selection approach for defect
 -prone module classification, allowing cause-effect relationships and cond
 itional dependencies among system metrics to guide the selection of inform
 ative predictors. For system resilience, this dissertation develops predic
 tive models for forecasting system performance under dynamic conditions, i
 ncluding models that account for delayed effects, nonlinear relationships,
  and time-varying covariates. The proposed models are validated using benc
 hmark and real-world datasets related to defect-prone module classificatio
 n and resilience prediction. Goodness-of-fit and classification performanc
 e measures are used to compare the proposed approaches with established st
 atistical and machine learning baselines. The results show that incorporat
 ing causal and conditional dependencies, delayed effects, nonlinear relati
 onships, and covariate behavior improves predictive performance across the
  problems considered. These findings demonstrate that the proposed models 
 can support practical decisions such as identifying high-risk modules, pla
 nning recovery actions, and forecasting long-term system performance. Over
 all, this dissertation provides flexible and interpretable modeling approa
 ches that advance system reliability and  resilience assessment for compl
 ex systems operating in uncertain and changing environments. ADVISOR(S): 
  Dr. Lance Fiondella, Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering (lf
 iondella@umassd.edu) COMMITTEE MEMBERS:        Dr. Alfa Heryudono, Depa
 rtment of Mathematics Dr. Gokhan Kul, Department of Computer & Information
  Science Dr. Ruolin Zhou, Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering 
 Dr. Hong Liu, Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering         
                                     NOTE: All EAS Studen
 ts are ENCOURAGED to attend.\nEvent page: https://www.umassd.edu/events/cm
 s/9-25-26-eas-doctoral-dissertation-defense-by-fatemeh-salboukh.php
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<html><body><p>Abstract:</p>\n<p>Modern system
 s support critical services in transportation\, energy\, communication\, f
 inance\, defense\, healthcare\, and other domains where failures or prolon
 ged disruptions can lead to economic loss\, degraded service\, safety risk
 s\, and loss of public trust. As these systems become more complex\, inter
 connected\, and data-driven\, ensuring that they remain reliable during no
 rmal operation and resilient under disruptive conditions become increasing
 ly challenging. Previous research on system reliability has developed stat
 istical and machine learning models for defect prediction and defect-prone
  module classification. Similarly\, previous research on system resilience
  has developed metrics and models to assess how systems absorb\, recover f
 rom\, and adapt after disruptions. These approaches provide important foun
 dations for system assessment\, but many remain limited by insufficient tr
 eatment of causal and conditional dependencies among system metrics or ins
 ufficient flexibility for nonlinear\, dynamic\, and time-varying condition
 s. As a result\, existing models may not fully support prediction and deci
 sion-making when defects\, covariates\, disruptions\, and recovery process
 es evolve over time. To address these limitations\, this dissertation deve
 lops statistical and machine learning models for system reliability and re
 silience prediction. For system reliability\, this dissertation develops a
  causal inference-inspired feature selection approach for defect-prone mod
 ule classification\, allowing cause-effect relationships and conditional d
 ependencies among system metrics to guide the selection of informative pre
 dictors. For system resilience\, this dissertation develops predictive mod
 els for forecasting system performance under dynamic conditions\, includin
 g models that account for delayed effects\, nonlinear relationships\, and 
 time-varying covariates.</p>\n<p>The proposed models are validated using b
 enchmark and real-world datasets related to defect-prone module classifica
 tion and resilience prediction. Goodness-of-fit and classification perform
 ance measures are used to compare the proposed approaches with established
  statistical and machine learning baselines. The results show that incorpo
 rating causal and conditional dependencies\, delayed effects\, nonlinear r
 elationships\, and covariate behavior improves predictive performance acro
 ss the problems considered. These findings demonstrate that the proposed m
 odels can support practical decisions such as identifying high-risk module
 s\, planning recovery actions\, and forecasting long-term system performan
 ce. Overall\, this dissertation provides flexible and interpretable modeli
 ng approaches that advance system reliability and  resilience assessment 
 for complex systems operating in uncertain and changing environments.</p>\
 n<p>ADVISOR(S):  Dr. Lance Fiondella\, Department of Electrical & Compute
 r Engineering (lfiondella@umassd.edu)</p>\n<p>COMMITTEE MEMBERS:      <
 /p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dr. Alfa Heryudono\, Department of Mathematics</li>\n<li>Dr
 . Gokhan Kul\, Department of Computer & Information Science</li>\n<li>Dr. 
 Ruolin Zhou\, Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering</li>\n<li>Dr
 . Hong Liu\, Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering         
                                   </li>\n</ul>\n<p>NOTE:
  All EAS Students are ENCOURAGED to attend.</p><p>Event page: <a href="htt
 ps://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/9-25-26-eas-doctoral-dissertation-defense-b
 y-fatemeh-salboukh.php">https://www.umassd.edu/events/cms/9-25-26-eas-doct
 oral-dissertation-defense-by-fatemeh-salboukh.php</a></a></p></body></html
 >
DTSTAMP:20260909T180005
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260925T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260925T140000
LOCATION:LIB 426
SUMMARY;LANGUAGE=en-us:EAS Doctoral Dissertation Defense by Fatemeh Salbouk
 h
UID:bbf85ea9136521b9683e94931a839bc3@www.umassd.edu
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